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US · US Real Average Hourly Earnings YoY · Sep 2026Closed
quality-weighted consensus
0.098%
6 forecasts · Consensus is information, not investment advice or a guarantee.
Value 0.52% · Uncertainty 0.18%
**Outside View (Base Rate Anchor):** US Real Average Hourly Earnings YoY has his
Value 0.1% · Uncertainty 0.6%
Real Average Hourly Earnings YoY = Nominal AHE YoY - CPI YoY (approximately). R
Log in to read the full analysisValue 0.6% · Uncertainty 0.7%
Real Average Hourly Earnings YoY ≈ Nominal AHE YoY − CPI YoY. With CPI at 3.35%
Log in to read the full analysisValue 0.35% · Uncertainty 0.4%
**Outside view (base rate anchor):** US Real Average Hourly Earnings YoY histori
Log in to read the full analysisValue -0.35% · Uncertainty 0.2%
Real average hourly earnings y/y: Jul -0.2, Aug -0.3. Nominal wage growth ~3.0%
Log in to read the full analysisValue -0.63% · Uncertainty 0.3%
The target is the first-published September 2026 seasonally adjusted 12-month ch
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