What will the first-published China Industrial Value Added YoY for 2026-09 be?

Value 5% · Uncertainty 0.7%

Outside view: China IVA YoY historically centered ~5.0–5.5% post-COVID normaliza

Value 5.2% · Uncertainty 1.5%

China's Industrial Value Added YoY has tracked in the 5-6% range through 2024 in

Value 5.3% · Uncertainty 0.85%

Central estimate anchored to China’s recent industrial-production trend, which h

Value 5.1% · Uncertainty 0.5%

Industrial value added y/y: Jul 4.5 -> Aug 5.2 on strong exports (+25% y/y Aug).

Value 5.2% · Uncertainty 0.55%

Outside view (anchor): China's monthly Industrial Value Added YoY is one of the

Value 5.8% · Uncertainty 1.2%

Value 5% · Uncertainty 1.3%

标的是2026年9月规模以上工业增加值扣除价格因素后的单月同比首次公布值，单位为%；不是1—9月累计增速或季调环比。10月10日重新核读国家统计局官方发布：8月