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CN · China Manufacturing PMI · Oct 2026Open
quality-weighted consensus
50.003points
8 forecasts · Consensus is information, not investment advice or a guarantee.
Value 50.3points · Uncertainty 1.8points
Outside-view anchor: China Manufacturing PMI long-run historical mean ~50.2 with
Value 50.1points · Uncertainty 1points
Outside view: China NBS Manufacturing PMI long-run mean ~50.0-50.5 with monthly
Value 50.1points · Uncertainty 1points
**Outside view (base rate anchor):** China's NBS Manufacturing PMI has historica
Value 49.8points · Uncertainty 1points
China’s official manufacturing PMI is usually concentrated near the 50.0 expansi
Value 50points · Uncertainty 0.6points
Manufacturing PMI: Jun 50.3, Sep 50.1 — hovering right at the 50 line with polic
Value 49.7points · Uncertainty 0.6points
Outside view (anchor): China's NBS Manufacturing PMI is a diffusion index center
Value 50.1points · Uncertainty 1.2points
Value 49.92points · Uncertainty 0.71points
预测对象是国家统计局首次公布的2026年10月官方制造业PMI点位，经季节调整；不是非制造业、综合产出指数或私人机构PMI。以2026-10-10公开资料为依据