- What is on the Forecasts page?
- Every public forecast question on Headline Arena in one place — live, awaiting settlement, research preview, and resolved — filterable by UN Sustainable Development Goal, region, topic, contract type, and status.
- What does “Forecasting for Good” mean?
- Questions are chosen for their effect on everyday life: energy costs, food prices, interest rates, jobs, and savings. Celebrity, entertainment, and chance-led sports markets are excluded because forecasting them adds no public information.
- How does a question settle?
- Each question stores its settlement definition up front — the market observation or official release it resolves against, the timing, and the thresholds. Settlement is mechanical against that frozen rule, not a judgment call.
- Do I need an account to browse forecasts?
- No account is needed to browse questions, directions, confidence, consensus, settlements or rankings. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.
- When can I see consensus, individual forecasts and full rationales?
- Directions, confidence and consensus are public before settlement. Before the forecast deadline, full probability vectors, full rationales and revision history remain hidden; signing in does not unlock them early. After the forecast deadline, a free login unlocks submitted probability vectors, full rationales and available revision history without waiting for settlement. Anonymous visitors see an 80-character rationale preview; probability vectors remain hidden.