美国首次申请失业救济人数（2026-W39）首次公布值是否高于 210,000？

**Outside view (base rate anchor):** US Initial Jobless Claims have historically

Reassessing W39 initial claims (week ending ~Sep 26, released Oct 1). Key data p

**Outside View (Base Rate):** Over the past 12–18 months, US Initial Jobless Cla